China LASIK Forcast 2013 - 2023

Forecast of Laser Refract ive Surgery in China: 2013 -2023

Input Metric

Estimated

Low

High

China population ix

1.36 Billion

1.34 Billion

1.39 Billion

Percentage in the treatable age group of 18 to 45

47.1%

47.1%

47.1%

Percentage with treatable refractive errors x xi xii xiii

26.7% xiv

58.9% xv xvi

35%

Percentage with the required income

33%

25%

40%

Estimated Total Candidate Pool

73,984,680

42,128,595

154,244,964

Market Penetration at Saturation

1.95%

1.2%

2.7%

Procedure Volumes

Estimated

Low

High

Estimated Volume at Maturity (People)

1,442,701

505,543

4,164,614

Estimated Volume at Maturity (Eyes)

2,885,403

1,011,086

8,329,228

Market Estimates

Estimated

Low

High

Average Selling Price ASP (Cost to Patient) Per Eye

USD $750

USD $505

USD $1,250

Market Size

USD $2.16 Billion

USD $505.5 Million USD $10.4 Billion

ESTIMATED PATIENT POOL

Table 1: Population Input Data and Estimated Patient Pool

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